top of page

GCIO INSIGHTS

Corporate India in Focus as Adani hits the Buffers

 

30th January 2023

 

India’s Adani Enterprises, which scripted a somewhat unprecedented ‘growth story’ that invited both awe and occasional scorn, found the ground sinking beneath its feet last week as a US research firm’s damning account of the meteoric rise in the share prices of the conglomerate and its group companies unnerved investors. The report from Hindenburg Research – a firm specialising in shorting stocks – raises issues that are extremely complex in nature and strikes at the heart of parts of corporate India.

Mumbai India

GCIO INSIGHTS

Overtrading Risks Damaging your Portfolio

 

23rd January 2023

 

Last week was another week of commotion in the markets. A few days of negative returns had commentators talking about the downside risks before a better Friday showing from Wall Street had all the bullish comments hitting the wires again. As we have stressed upon all along, there are easier bets to take than just worrying about the level of equities. Asia performed well again last week and looks likely to continuing doing so aided by robust data, China re-opening, and reduced concerns about a significant tightening of monetary policies.

GCIO INSIGHTS

Cutting through the Tactical Noise

 

16th January 2023

 

The market's fixation last week with one US inflation number was intriguing. Even as we wondered if one month's data could prove anything, market commentators continued to appear distracted by the debate about the gap between what the market discounts and what the Fed will do next.

Business Meeting
Rush Hour

GCIO INSIGHTS

Shaping 2023

 

9th January 2023

 

As we hit refresh with the onset of a new year, we wish to highlight the factors that will, in our view, determine the path that asset markets will take through 2023.

GCIO INSIGHTS

2022: Well, I'm Glad That's Over

 

2nd January 2023

 

2022 could be characterised as one of the most challenging for investors in decades. The highest inflation in the memory of many, central bankers initially underestimated the challenges ahead, and a war in Ukraine brought losses across asset classes.

New Year Sign
Bill

GCIO INSIGHTS

Inflation and Central Bank Watch

 

12th December 2022

 

Major global central banks are due to increase interest rates this week. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates by 50 basis points matching market expectations (of dialled down rate increases). The European Central Bank and the UK Monetary Policy Committee should also increase rates by 50bps each, capping a year that saw significant monetary tightening.

GCIO INSIGHTS

Dream On

 

5th December 2022

 

The performance of markets in November and the early days of December reflects the hope that good news is just around the corner. The markets prefer to ignore the economic data that shows global economy is in a significant downshift in growth and facing prolonged high-interest rates. The markets prefer to discount the hope that interest rates will peak soon, and central banks will apply themselves to loosening monetary policy, and growth will resume...Dream on.

Dream House

GCIO INSIGHTS

Managing Tail Risks - US Government Bonds and the Oil Price

 

28th Nov 2022

 

Judging by history, the US yield curve has an extraordinary inversion. But what does it mean? Extraordinary, because since 1976 there have been only 21 quarters when the yield curve turned negative, which is equivalent to 11% of all quarters since then...

GCIO INSIGHTS

It's Just Not That Easy

 

21st Nov 2022

 

After the recent good US consumer and producer price inflation reports, it was easy to conclude that there are much better times ahead in the asset markets. Since the equity market low in September, the markets have rallied strongly on the back of good inflation data...

GCIO INSIGHTS

Deflating Exaggerated Worry

 

14th Nov 2022

 

What a difference one number can make! We knew that markets were primed to react to any word from a central banker that implied a pivot to comparatively easier monetary conditions ahead. However, it ultimately proved to be just one 'good' inflation data point that turned sentiments around...

GCIO INSIGHTS

Central Bankers Diverge, as Investors Go Bottom Fishing

 

7th Nov 2022

 

When it comes to global central banks, there’s no one-size-fits-all approach that does wonders. As the banks attempt to cure the ills of the global economy, they employ measures that are often widely different......

Hubbis Logo no shadow - CMYK.webp

GCIO INSIGHTS

Feature article with Hubbis

20th October 2021

Private Clients and the need to adapt investment portfolios with a proper
historical perspective - An Interview with Gary Dugan, CEO, The Global CIO
Office

GCIO INSIGHTS LIBRARY

Click on titles to access material


31st Oct 2022
24th Oct 2022
17th Oct 2022
10th Oct 2022


11th July 2022
4th July 2022
27th June 2022
20th June 2022


8th August 2022
1st August 2022
25th July 2022
18th July 2022


13th June 2022
6th June 2022
30th May 2022
23rd May 2022


5th Sept 2022
29th August 2022
22nd August 2022
15th August 2022


3rd Oct 2022
26th Sept 2022
20th Sept 2022
12th Sept 2022

bottom of page