GCIO INSIGHTS

Markets on Target for Further Downside

23rd May 2022

The obvious message from last week’s corporate and macro data was that the slowdown in the global economy is far more significant than many had thought and that inflation pressures are intensifying. We remain extremely cautious on equities and believe that bond yields will eventually reclaim their recent highs.....

GCIO INSIGHTS

Questionable Positives

16th May 2022

Let us start with a positive—and some statistics. Based on data dating

back to the 1950s, when the S&P500 fell 15%, in the subsequent year,

on all occasions bar two, the index gave a positive return...

GCIO INSIGHTS

Plenty of reasons to be Concerned

2nd May 2022

Last week’s price action in the US equity markets should worry investors. We were witness to a pattern in the markets that should ring alarm bells. In any case, we have for many weeks tried to caution investors on the prevailing downside risks...

GCIO INSIGHTS

They Don't Know What They are Doing

9th May 2022

Last week’s central bank meetings have only boosted evidence of the growing concern about the scale of the problem posed by the runaway inflation...

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GCIO INSIGHTS

Market View : Do central bankers really know what they're doing?

12th May 2022

Gary Dugan, CEO, The Global CIO Office is interviewed on Money FM89.3 ...

GCIO INSIGHTS

A Market Without Bounds

25th April 2022

If there is one very important lesson to learn from recent market movements, it is not to anchor your perception of what the future holds on the smooth market performance of recent years...

GCIO INSIGHTS

Taylor Rules!

19th April 2022

If famed American economist John B. Taylor is correct, the financial markets are in trouble. The Taylor rule – a treatise on how central banks should change interest rates – suggests that the Fed funds rate should be somewhere between 7% and 10%...

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GCIO INSIGHTS

An Inverted World?

4th April 2022

Last week the inversion of the US yield curve attracted much attention. The two-year US government bond yield
surged 10bps on Friday to climb above the 10-year yield, fuelling worries of an impending recession......

GCIO INSIGHTS

The Bond Reset is Here.  Now What?

11th April 2022

The markets just can't shrug off last week's roughly 35bps rise in the US 10-year bond yields. Last week, we also noted a near double-digit inflation in the food industry....

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GCIO INSIGHTS

A Story of Extremes

 

28th March 2022

Fed governors want faster rate increases – bonds take fright....

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GCIO INSIGHTS

Heightened Risks Undermine ''Buy the Dip''

21st March 2022

It would be naive to think that the recent rally in equities has been caused by “greater clarity” in markets. Despite the rally helping offset some of the losses triggered by the reaction to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, no such clarity exists, and none is likely to emerge soon, either...

GCIO INSIGHTS

He's Underweight Stocks

18th March 2022

Gary Dugan, CEO, The Global CIO Office is interviewed on Bloomberg 
News...

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GCIO INSIGHTS

On the Markets

18th March 2022

Gary Dugan, CEO, The Global CIO Office is interviewed on Bloomberg 
Daybreak - On the Markets ...

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GCIO INSIGHTS

Feature article with Hubbis

20th October 2021

Private Clients and the need to adapt investment portfolios with a proper
historical perspective - An Interview with Gary Dugan, CEO, The Global CIO
Office

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