A World of Sharp Contrasts
September 30th, 2024 Weak US consumer confidence data brings calls for a further 50bps Fed rate cut China reverses prudent policies and...
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GCIO Interviews Library
Oct 23
Now What?
September 23rd, 2024 The Fed makes a good start to the rate cutting cycle, trimming rates by 50bps The peaking of US policy rates often...
Oct 16
The Fed's Close Call
September 16th, 2024 We are hopeful that the Fed will deliver a 50bps rate cut, if not the market will likely be disappointed A new Fed...
Oct 9
We Need Central Banks to Step on the Gas
September 9th, 2024 Investors fret that US economic data does not emphatically push the Fed to provide a 50bps rate cut this month Marked...
Oct 2
Building the Case for 50bps?
September 2nd, 2024 This week's US employment report has the power to push the Fed to cut by 50bps Income seeking strategies the lower...
Sep 26
Fed Rate Cut – There’s No Turning Back
August 26th, 2024 Jerome Powell gives am emphatic message that the Fed will cut rates The market expects measured rate Fed cuts, at 25bps...
Sep 19
Back to Normal?
August 19th, 2024 Equities have recovered their poise, helped by bond yield that have stayed low US economic data may have surprised to...
Sep 10
Half-Way Back
August 12th, 2024 Markets recover 50% of their dips -equity indices, and bond yield lows. Economists debate if weather-related issues...
Aug 29
A Tale of Three Central Banks
July 29th, 2024 Fed, BoJ and the UK MPC meet this week with all meetings having scope surprise The Fed seems likely to leave rates...
Aug 22
Volatility Spikes on The Twists and Turns of Geopolitics
July 22nd, 2024 US Presidential election twists and turns are centre stage of a further rise in market geopolitical concerns President...
Aug 15
The Folly of the Fed's Last Dot Plot
July 15th, 2024 Good US inflation report increases hopes for a rate cut no later than in September US Core CPI has fallen to 2.1% in Q2...
Aug 8
A July Rate Cut?
July 8th, 2024 US economic data currently lends itself to earlier rate cuts The ISM Service Sector index was sharply weaker The Fed might...
Jul 1
Political Turmoil
July 1st, 2024 US politics in sate of flux and still five months to go US equity market doesn’t agree with the Fed's view, but the bond...
Jun 24
China's Opportunity - Not To Be Missed
June 24th, 2024 The Third Plenum of the 20th Communist Party of China Central Committee should deliver news of structural change. After...
Jun 17
Opportunity Out of Adversity?
June 17th, 2024 The Fed downgrades its expectations for rate cuts, however the market disagrees US interest rate sensitive stocks could...
Jun 10
Political Challenges
June 10th, 2024 Geopolitical challenges so far have not stirred exaggerated volatility in the equity markets India’s election results, an...
Jun 3
Macro and Markets Review for May 2024
There was quite a dispersion of economic data surprises around the world through May. Europe was the positive standout, with evidence of...
May 27
Peaking Markets Range Trade
May 27th, 2024 Market debate remains on stickiness of inflation and slow pace of US rate cuts US market concentration in big tech...
May 20
No One Way Bets
May 20th, 2024 We still worry about US stagflation We remain positive on European equities - lower inflation helps Chinese equities...
May 13
A World of Contrasts
May 13th, 2024 Stagflation alarms in the US as household confidence drops sharply but inflation expectations inch up Europe’s building...
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